On the Campaign Trail with Ed Tibbetts

Archive for May, 2008

Ad Wars

Friday, May 23rd, 2008

The Democrats’ complaint that 2nd District congressional candidate Peter Teahen broke federal election law by airing a TV ad for his funeral home is familiar.

Two years ago, 1st District Republican Mike Whalen was the target of a similar complaint. The complaint, by Republican rival Brian Kennedy, was that TV ads for The Iowa Machine Shed constituted illegal corporate contributions to Whalen’s campaign. The case was dismissed by the FEC as unfounded. Teahen denies any wrongdoing here, too.

What’s interesting locally is that Davenport’s Victory Enterprises, Inc., was the campaign consultant in both cases. That will surely get some insider tongues wagging.

Brian Dumas, who’s consulting for Teahen, said today that Victory wasn’t involved in the funeral home ad.

“Peter and I have never once discussed the advertising he does for his funeral home,” Dumas said.

He adds Victory, of which he’s president, hasn’t had anything to do with adverising for the Cedar Rapids funeral home, either.

The complaint was filed by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. You can find the Associated Press story on the Times web site here.

Greasing the skids

Thursday, May 22nd, 2008

With gas prices the way they are, our political campaigns may turn a lot on the angst over $4 gas. With that in mind, here’s an interesting take you may not have heard on why the price of oil may be going up so much.

It’s in the Times of London, written by Anatole Kaletsky. You can find the full piece here.

This is an excerpt:

The present commodity and oil boom shows all the classic symptoms of a financial bubble, such as Japan in the 1980s, technology stocks in the 1990s and, most recently, housing and mortgages in the US. But surely, you will say, this commodity boom is different? Surely it is driven by profound and lasting changes in global supply and demand: China’s insatiable appetite for food and energy, geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, the peaking of global oil reserves, droughts caused by global warming and so on. All these fundamental points are perfectly valid, but they tell us nothing about whether the oil price will soon jump to $200, stay at $130 or fall back to $60 next month.

To see that these “fundamentals” are all irrelevant, we have merely to ask which of them has changed in the past nine months. The answer is none. The oil markets didn’t suddenly discover China’s oil demand nine months ago so this cannot explain the doubling of prices since last August. In fact, China’s ‘insatiable’ demand growth has decelerated. In 2004 it was consuming an extra 0.9 million barrels a day; in 2007 it was consuming just an extra 0.3 mbd. In the same period global demand growth has slowed from 3.6 mbd to 0.7 mbd. As a result, the increase in global demand growth is now well below last year’s increase of 0.8 mbd in non-Opec production, according to Mike Rothman, of ISI, a leading New York consulting group.a self-fulfilling momentum of rising prices and an inbuilt bias in the way that investors interpret the world. The resulting misconceptions drive market prices to a “far from equilibrium position” that bears almost no relation to the balance of underlying supply and demand.

In these bubbles Kaletsky writes, they can create a self-fulfilling momentum of rising prices and an inbuilt bias in the way that investors interpret the world. The resulting misconceptions drive market prices to a “far from equilibrium position” that bears almost no relation to the balance of underlying supply and demand.”

Iowa party chief to pick Obama

Tuesday, May 20th, 2008

Iowa Democratic Party chair Scott Brennan is endorsing Barack Obama today. Here’s Charlotte Eby’s story on the Times web site.

If this isn’t the party signaling to the rank and file in Iowa that the nomination race is over, I don’t know what is. Brennan, as party chair, had steadfastly maintained his neutrality.

Hillary Clinton is still slugging it out, but Obama is moving on to the general election — and it looks like he’s convincing people like Brennan to do the same.

With Iowa considered a battleground state, there’s probably not a lot of time to waste prepping for the November election, so Brennan’s endorsement is an important statement that it’s time for the party faithful to pack the nomination fight away and close ranks.

The endorsement’s supposed to come before Obama’s rally in Des Moines tonight.

Obama to pick up Edwards delegate

Friday, May 16th, 2008

A delegate for John Edwards says she’ll switch her support to Barack Obama when she gets to the national convention in August.

Arlene Prather-O’Kane, who is from Cedar Falls, told me yesterday she’s sticking with Edwards for the moment, but plans to switch at the DNC in in Denver.

Edwards endorsed Obama Wednesday, and his Iowa co-chair Rob Tully is urging his backers to switch their allegiance, too.

I’ve talked to three out of four of Edwards’ national delegates from Iowa, the folks who were picked at the district conventions in April.

David Redlawsk, a college professor from Iowa City, says he’s holding off for the moment because he wants to talk to other Edwards backers. He’s also been busy with finals. (Hey, there’s a real world out there, folks). And Machelle Crum of Newton hadn’t made a decision when I talked to her a few hours after the news broke.

You’re not the boss of us

Thursday, May 15th, 2008

Dan Gearino writes on the Times web site this afternoon about reaction to Iowa Gov. Culver’s veto of the collective bargaining bill yesterday.

Davenport Mayor Bill Gluba called it courageous, Gearino writes. Then he quotes Gluba uttering this little gem:

“He showed he’s the governor, and AFSCME (the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees) is not running the state of Iowa, contrary to what they think, nor do the teachers.

Methinks he’s going to hear about that one.

Fuel for food fight

Thursday, May 15th, 2008

Chuck Grassley, one of the most stalwart backers of ethanol, took to the Senate floor today to tilt back at the critics who say the renewable fuel is causing food price increases and contributing to famine worldwide.

He came with an interesting bit of ammunition, too. A Wednesday story in Roll Call (subscription required) that outlines a campaign launched by the Grocery Manufacturers Association to roll back the ethanol mandate in last year’s energy bill.

The story says GMA signed up public relations company Glover Park Group to help out.

Roll Call got hold of  the GMA request for proposal and Glover Park Group’s response.

From the story:

In its RFP, the GMA outlined a four-part approach: building “a global center-left coalition,” which includes environmental, hunger, food aid, poverty, development, senior, children, business, nutrition, farm consumer and labor groups; taking advantage of the “extraordinary earned media opportunities” caused by rising food prices; mobilizing local food banks and “other local opinion leaders in key states and districts”; and hiring “trusted third-party experts” to document the effect of fuel mandates on, among other things, global hunger and poverty, job losses in the food industry, and inflation.

In its 21-page answer, a copy of which was also obtained by Roll Call, Glover Park laid out a hard-hitting plan with two main goals for the campaign.

“First, we must obliterate whatever intellectual justification might still exist for corn-based ethanol among policy elites. … Second, we must demonstrate to policy makers at the state and federal level that there is a political price to allowing ethanol policy to drive up the cost of food,” Glover Park wrote.

In order to do that, Glover Park said the campaign must “clearly show the direct and irrefutable link between corn-based ethanol policy and the variety of harms caused by that policy, above all food price inflation” along with an urgent and remedy-based messaging strategy.

The emphasis, the lobbying and public affairs shop noted, must be that “this is a ‘Now’ issue that is fast reaching crisis proportions for American consumers.”

Grassley says it’s a “smear campaign” prompted by the GMA. “They’ve outlined their strategy of using environmental, hunger and food aid groups to demonstrate their contrived “crisis,” he says.

Grassley also throws some punches at the Clinton White House. Glover Park Group has some prominent Clinton connections. Joe Lockhart, the former president’s press secretary, is a partner there. Other Clinton staffers work there, too.

“I fought President Clinton during his 8 years in office at every turn when he tried to undermine our renewable fuels industry.  Now I’m fighting his former staff and staff that worked for the Gore and Kerry presidential campaigns. I imagine they’re leading this effort because they can’t stand the fact that President Bush has proved to be the best friend the renewable fuels industry has had,” Grassley says.

The grocers defended themselves in the Roll Call article.

GMA’s Scott Faber said it was hight time the group, which represents many of the nation’s largest food, beverage and household goods companies, joined the debate.”We think that America has only heard one side of this debate for too long,” said Faber, GMA’s vice president for federal affairs. “The food industry is just adding its voice to the anti-poverty, environmental and consumer groups that have been ringing the alarm bells about diverting so much of our food to our fuel supplies.”

Glover Park Group didn’t respond to Roll Call’s requests for comment, the article says.

Dems respond to McCain ad

Tuesday, May 13th, 2008

Iowa Democrats are responding to the television ad that presumptive Republican presidential candidate John McCain began airing in the state last week.

The McCain ad is called “Accountable,” and the Arizona senator stresses fairer taxes, cleaner energy and more affordable health care.

Democrats today issued a “reality check” on the ad.

They say his health care ideas will leave 273,000 Iowans without coverage and, says Brooke Borkenhagen, the party’s spokesperson, his ”big ideas include hurting Iowa’s farmers by ending federal investment in American ethanol and increasing incentives for Brazilian farmers to import their ethanol to the United States.”

McCain’s made no secret of his disdain for ethanol incentives. Now, the Democrats plan to bludgeon him with it. Expect this to continue right up to November.

Ordinarily, this might be a losing hand for McCain in Iowa. But in a day food prices are high and there are food shortages overseas – and ethanol is getting, fairly or unfairly, some of the blame — his position might win more friends here than it would otherwise. It’s a stretch to see his position as a net plus, but the timing might be better than it ever will be.

Ahrens gets GOP nod for auditor

Saturday, May 10th, 2008

Scott County Republicans just picked a nominee for auditor. As expected, it’s Steve Ahrens, the former Davenport alderman.

Republicans met in a special convention this morning at the Mississippi Valley Fairgrounds. Ahrens was the unanimous choice. He got the 63 votes of the delegates attending.

“I’m ready to get rolling,” he said afterward.

Democrats haven’t picked a  nominee yet, but Scott County Supervisor Roxanna Moritz and ex-Davenport alderman Tom Engelmann have said they’re interested. The Democrats are expected to meet in a special convention next month.

Wes Rostenbach, the auditor who was appointed after Karen Fitzsimmons’ death, has said he’s not interested in running for the job.

New McCain ad

Friday, May 9th, 2008

As Barack Obama tries to push his way past Hillary Clinton, John McCain continues to run mostly unfettered.

His campaign is putting up a new television ad in Iowa, his second. Jeff Zadosky, a spokesman, won’t say how much the campaign is spending or how long the ad is going to run. He does say the two ads show McCain’s “commitment to the state.”

Iowa is expected to be a battleground state this fall.

The ad, called “Accountable,” pitches simpler, fairer taxes and portable, affordable health care. Cheaper, cleaner energy, too.

The image on the latter is a windmill, not an ethanol plant. That’s interesting. McCain, of course, is against ethanol subsidies.

Not to read too much into it. Iowa has hundreds of windmills, too. But it’s a choice that will likely get noticed.

Anyway, here’s the ad.

Van Fossen, Tinsman for Eichhorn

Thursday, May 8th, 2008

Iowa Rep. Jamie Van Fossen of Davenport and former state Sen. Maggie Tinsman of Bettendorf are backing George Eichhorn for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate.

Eichhorn is a Des Moines lawyer. He’s one of three Republicans vying to run against Sen. Tom Harkin. Van Fossen and Tinsman were among 33 state GOP leaders, mostly legislators and former lawmakers, who’ve lent their support to Eichhorn, according to a release his campaign sent out yesterday.